CIN Cincinnati Bengals playoff chances
Week 9 · 2026 season · updated Nov 4, 2026
The Cincinnati Bengals are 5-2 (1-1 in the division, 4-2 in the AFC). They are 2nd in the AFC North, behind Steelers, and would be the AFC's No. 6 seed if the season ended today. In 10,000 simulated seasons they make the playoffs 84% of the time.
Playoff chances by week
Earlier weeks are re-run with the results known at the time, using today's team ratings. The shaded area shows how far their odds could swing over the rest of the season.
Show as a table
| Before Week 1 | 76% | Actual |
| After Week 1 | 79% | Actual |
| After Week 2 | 86% | Actual |
| After Week 3 | 78% | Actual |
| After Week 4 | 71% | Actual |
| After Week 5 | 75% | Actual |
| After Week 6 | 73% | Actual |
| After Week 7 | 81% | Actual |
| After Week 8 | 84% | Actual |
| After Week 9 | 89% | Projected (range 77%–91%) |
| After Week 10 | 94% | Projected (range 70%–95%) |
| After Week 11 | 96% | Projected (range 73%–96%) |
| After Week 12 | 98% | Projected (range 65%–98%) |
| After Week 13 | >99% | Projected (range 73%–99%) |
| After Week 14 | >99% | Projected (range 64%–>99%) |
| After Week 15 | >99% | Projected (range 71%–>99%) |
| After Week 16 | >99% | Projected (range 70%–>99%) |
| After Week 17 | >99% | Projected (range 71%–>99%) |
| After Week 18 | >99% | Projected (range >99%–>99%) |
News & injuries
- DJ Turner II RCB Questionable
Ankle
Injury report
As of Nov 4, 2026. The simulator lets you mark any player out and see how the odds change.
What the Bengals need
The Bengals have not clinched anything yet and are not close to elimination. With 10 games left, the model expects about 6.2 more wins, for a final record around 11-6. Their toughest remaining game is vs. the Chiefs in Week 14 (55% to win); the most winnable is vs. the Browns in Week 18 (72%). Our power rankings have them #5. Beat Titans 43–36 at home. 3 straight wins.
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nov 8 | at ATL Falcons | 56% |
| 10 | Nov 15 | vs. PIT Steelers | 62% |
| 11 | Nov 23 | at WAS Commanders | 59% |
| 12 | Nov 29 | vs. NO Saints | 68% |
| 13 | Dec 6 | at CLE Browns | 63% |
| 14 | Dec 13 | vs. KC Chiefs | 55% |
| 15 | Dec 20 | at CAR Panthers | 57% |
| 16 | Dec 27 | at IND Colts | 59% |
| 17 | Dec 31 | vs. BAL Ravens | 66% |
| 18 | Jan 10 | vs. CLE Browns | 72% |
AFC North standings
| Team | Record | Playoffs | Win div. |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT Steelers | 6-2 | 75% | 35% |
| CIN Bengals | 5-2 | 84% | 51% |
| CLE Browns | 5-3 | 34% | 9% |
| BAL Ravens | 4-4 | 19% | 4% |
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs. TB Buccaneers | W 33–27 |
| 2 | at HOU Texans | W 20–6 |
| 3 | at PIT Steelers | L 27–30 |
| 4 | vs. JAX Jaguars | L 17–22 |
| 5 | at MIA Dolphins | W 31–24 |
| 7 | at BAL Ravens | W 35–13 |
| 8 | vs. TEN Titans | W 43–36 |
Questions
Can the Bengals still make the playoffs?
Yes. They make the playoffs in 84% of 10,000 simulated seasons, and nothing has eliminated them yet.
What are the Bengals' chances to win the Super Bowl?
7%, based on 10,000 simulated seasons and playoffs. They reach the Super Bowl 13% of the time.
How many games will the Bengals win?
The model projects 11.1 wins on average, from their 5-2 start and the 10 games left.
Where do the Bengals stand in the AFC North?
2nd place, with a 51% chance to win the division.
More
Steelers playoff chances · Browns playoff chances · Ravens playoff chances · All AFC and NFL playoff odds · Playoff picture · Power rankings