CAR Carolina Panthers playoff chances
Week 9 · 2026 season · updated Nov 4, 2026
The Carolina Panthers are 3-4 (1-1 in the division, 3-3 in the NFC). They lead the NFC South, and would be the NFC's No. 4 seed as NFC South leaders if the season ended today. In 10,000 simulated seasons they make the playoffs 32% of the time.
Playoff chances by week
Earlier weeks are re-run with the results known at the time, using today's team ratings. The shaded area shows how far their odds could swing over the rest of the season.
Show as a table
| Before Week 1 | 30% | Actual |
| After Week 1 | 27% | Actual |
| After Week 2 | 36% | Actual |
| After Week 3 | 32% | Actual |
| After Week 4 | 38% | Actual |
| After Week 5 | 41% | Actual |
| After Week 6 | 53% | Actual |
| After Week 7 | 37% | Actual |
| After Week 8 | 32% | Actual |
| After Week 9 | 25% | Projected (range 22%–44%) |
| After Week 10 | 16% | Projected (range 14%–56%) |
| After Week 11 | 20% | Projected (range 12%–59%) |
| After Week 12 | 10% | Projected (range 5%–70%) |
| After Week 13 | 5% | Projected (range 5%–68%) |
| After Week 14 | 9% | Projected (range 3%–83%) |
| After Week 15 | 4% | Projected (range <1%–84%) |
| After Week 16 | 1% | Projected (range 0%–82%) |
| After Week 17 | <1% | Projected (range 0%–>99%) |
| After Week 18 | <1% | Projected (range 0%–>99%) |
News & injuries
- Will Lee III RCB Questionable
Hamstring
Injury report
As of Nov 4, 2026. The simulator lets you mark any player out and see how the odds change.
What the Panthers need
The Panthers have not clinched anything yet and are not close to elimination. With 10 games left, the model expects about 4.6 more wins, for a final record around 8-9. Their toughest remaining game is at the Vikings in Week 13 (36% to win); the most winnable is vs. the Saints in Week 14 (58%). Our power rankings have them #22. Lost to Packers 19–27 on the road. Playing below its rating lately.
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nov 8 | vs. DEN Broncos | 46% |
| 10 | Nov 15 | at NO Saints | 48% |
| 11 | Nov 22 | vs. BAL Ravens | 54% |
| 12 | Nov 30 | at TB Buccaneers | 41% |
| 13 | Dec 6 | at MIN Vikings | 36% |
| 14 | Dec 13 | vs. NO Saints | 58% |
| 15 | Dec 20 | vs. CIN Bengals | 43% |
| 16 | Dec 27 | at PIT Steelers | 41% |
| 17 | Jan 3 | vs. SEA Seahawks | 38% |
| 18 | Jan 10 | vs. ATL Falcons | 52% |
NFC South standings
| Team | Record | Playoffs | Win div. |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR Panthers | 3-4 | 32% | 30% |
| TB Buccaneers | 3-5 | 36% | 34% |
| ATL Falcons | 3-5 | 25% | 22% |
| NO Saints | 2-5 | 15% | 14% |
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs. CHI Bears | L 37–59 |
| 2 | at ATL Falcons | W 34–3 |
| 3 | at CLE Browns | L 18–21 |
| 4 | vs. DET Lions | W 32–26 |
| 6 | at PHI Eagles | W 25–14 |
| 7 | vs. TB Buccaneers | L 13–43 |
| 8 | at GB Packers | L 19–27 |
Questions
Can the Panthers still make the playoffs?
Yes. They make the playoffs in 32% of 10,000 simulated seasons, and nothing has eliminated them yet.
What are the Panthers' chances to win the Super Bowl?
1%, based on 10,000 simulated seasons and playoffs. They reach the Super Bowl 2% of the time.
How many games will the Panthers win?
The model projects 7.6 wins on average, from their 3-4 start and the 10 games left.
Where do the Panthers stand in the NFC South?
1st place, with a 30% chance to win the division.
More
Buccaneers playoff chances · Falcons playoff chances · Saints playoff chances · All NFC and NFL playoff odds · Playoff picture · Power rankings