TEN Tennessee Titans playoff chances
Week 9 · 2026 season · updated Nov 4, 2026
The Tennessee Titans are 1-7 (1-1 in the division, 1-5 in the AFC). They are 4th in the AFC South, behind Jaguars, Texans, Colts, and would be on the outside looking in, 15th in the AFC if the season ended today. In 10,000 simulated seasons they make the playoffs <1% of the time.
Playoff chances by week
Earlier weeks are re-run with the results known at the time, using today's team ratings. The shaded area shows how far their odds could swing over the rest of the season.
Show as a table
| Before Week 1 | 12% | Actual |
| After Week 1 | 8% | Actual |
| After Week 2 | 6% | Actual |
| After Week 3 | 4% | Actual |
| After Week 4 | 2% | Actual |
| After Week 5 | 1% | Actual |
| After Week 6 | 1% | Actual |
| After Week 7 | 1% | Actual |
| After Week 8 | <1% | Actual |
| After Week 9 | <1% | Projected (range <1%–<1%) |
| After Week 10 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–1%) |
| After Week 11 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–1%) |
| After Week 12 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–<1%) |
| After Week 13 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–0%) |
| After Week 14 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–0%) |
| After Week 15 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–0%) |
| After Week 16 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–0%) |
| After Week 17 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–0%) |
| After Week 18 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–0%) |
News & injuries
- Jeffery Simmons
Traded to the Bears (Oct 29)
Injury report
As of Nov 4, 2026. The simulator lets you mark any player out and see how the odds change.
What the Titans need
The Titans have not clinched anything yet and are not close to elimination. With 9 games left, the model expects about 3.0 more wins, for a final record around 4-13. Their toughest remaining game is at the Jaguars in Week 12 (23% to win); the most winnable is vs. the Colts in Week 15 (46%). Our power rankings have them #30. Lost to Bengals 36–43 on the road.
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nov 15 | vs. JAX Jaguars | 31% |
| 11 | Nov 22 | at DAL Cowboys | 28% |
| 12 | Nov 29 | at JAX Jaguars | 23% |
| 13 | Dec 6 | vs. WAS Commanders | 44% |
| 14 | Dec 13 | at DET Lions | 26% |
| 15 | Dec 20 | vs. IND Colts | 46% |
| 16 | Dec 27 | at LV Raiders | 37% |
| 17 | Jan 3 | vs. PIT Steelers | 39% |
| 18 | Jan 10 | at HOU Texans | 25% |
AFC South standings
| Team | Record | Playoffs | Win div. |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAX Jaguars | 5-2 | 91% | 84% |
| HOU Texans | 2-5 | 27% | 13% |
| IND Colts | 2-6 | 4% | 2% |
| TEN Titans | 1-7 | <1% | <1% |
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs. NYJ Jets | L 10–23 |
| 2 | vs. PHI Eagles | L 20–24 |
| 3 | at NYG Giants | L 7–12 |
| 4 | at BAL Ravens | L 18–24 |
| 5 | vs. HOU Texans | L 3–26 |
| 6 | at IND Colts | W 26–20 |
| 7 | vs. CLE Browns | L 24–27 |
| 8 | at CIN Bengals | L 36–43 |
Questions
Can the Titans still make the playoffs?
Yes. They make the playoffs in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons, and nothing has eliminated them yet.
What are the Titans' chances to win the Super Bowl?
0%, based on 10,000 simulated seasons and playoffs. They reach the Super Bowl 0% of the time.
How many games will the Titans win?
The model projects 4.0 wins on average, from their 1-7 start and the 9 games left.
Where do the Titans stand in the AFC South?
4th place, with a <1% chance to win the division.
More
Jaguars playoff chances · Texans playoff chances · Colts playoff chances · All AFC and NFL playoff odds · Playoff picture · Power rankings