PIT Pittsburgh Steelers playoff chances
Week 9 · 2026 season · updated Nov 4, 2026
The Pittsburgh Steelers are 6-2 (2-1 in the division, 3-2 in the AFC). They lead the AFC North, and would be the AFC's No. 3 seed as AFC North leaders if the season ended today. In 10,000 simulated seasons they make the playoffs 75% of the time.
Playoff chances by week
Earlier weeks are re-run with the results known at the time, using today's team ratings. The shaded area shows how far their odds could swing over the rest of the season.
Show as a table
| Before Week 1 | 46% | Actual |
| After Week 1 | 53% | Actual |
| After Week 2 | 45% | Actual |
| After Week 3 | 54% | Actual |
| After Week 4 | 42% | Actual |
| After Week 5 | 48% | Actual |
| After Week 6 | 58% | Actual |
| After Week 7 | 68% | Actual |
| After Week 8 | 75% | Actual |
| After Week 9 | 75% | Projected (range 71%–78%) |
| After Week 10 | 67% | Projected (range 62%–90%) |
| After Week 11 | 76% | Projected (range 57%–94%) |
| After Week 12 | 86% | Projected (range 50%–98%) |
| After Week 13 | 80% | Projected (range 52%–>99%) |
| After Week 14 | 73% | Projected (range 47%–>99%) |
| After Week 15 | 88% | Projected (range 32%–>99%) |
| After Week 16 | 96% | Projected (range 32%–>99%) |
| After Week 17 | >99% | Projected (range 8%–>99%) |
| After Week 18 | 99% | Projected (range 0%–>99%) |
News & injuries
- Joey Porter Jr.
Traded to the Cowboys (Oct 1)
Injury report
As of Nov 4, 2026. The simulator lets you mark any player out and see how the odds change.
What the Steelers need
The Steelers have not clinched anything yet and are not close to elimination. With 9 games left, the model expects about 4.5 more wins, for a final record around 11-6. Their toughest remaining game is at the Jaguars in Week 14 (37% to win); the most winnable is at the Titans in Week 17 (61%). Our power rankings have them #8. Beat Browns 27–6 at home. 4 straight wins. Playing well above its rating lately.
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nov 15 | at CIN Bengals | 38% |
| 11 | Nov 22 | at PHI Eagles | 51% |
| 12 | Nov 27 | vs. DEN Broncos | 51% |
| 13 | Dec 6 | vs. HOU Texans | 49% |
| 14 | Dec 14 | at JAX Jaguars | 37% |
| 15 | Dec 20 | vs. BAL Ravens | 58% |
| 16 | Dec 27 | vs. CAR Panthers | 59% |
| 17 | Jan 3 | at TEN Titans | 61% |
| 18 | Jan 10 | at BAL Ravens | 49% |
AFC North standings
| Team | Record | Playoffs | Win div. |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT Steelers | 6-2 | 75% | 35% |
| CIN Bengals | 5-2 | 84% | 51% |
| CLE Browns | 5-3 | 34% | 9% |
| BAL Ravens | 4-4 | 19% | 4% |
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs. ATL Falcons | W 20–13 |
| 2 | at NE Patriots | L 3–20 |
| 3 | vs. CIN Bengals | W 30–27 |
| 4 | at CLE Browns | L 24–27 |
| 5 | vs. IND Colts | W 34–22 |
| 6 | at TB Buccaneers | W 26–19 |
| 7 | at NO Saints | W 16–10 |
| 8 | vs. CLE Browns | W 27–6 |
Questions
Can the Steelers still make the playoffs?
Yes. They make the playoffs in 75% of 10,000 simulated seasons, and nothing has eliminated them yet.
What are the Steelers' chances to win the Super Bowl?
3%, based on 10,000 simulated seasons and playoffs. They reach the Super Bowl 7% of the time.
How many games will the Steelers win?
The model projects 10.5 wins on average, from their 6-2 start and the 9 games left.
Where do the Steelers stand in the AFC North?
1st place, with a 35% chance to win the division.
More
Bengals playoff chances · Browns playoff chances · Ravens playoff chances · All AFC and NFL playoff odds · Playoff picture · Power rankings