NO New Orleans Saints playoff chances
Week 9 · 2026 season · updated Nov 4, 2026
The New Orleans Saints are 2-5 (0-1 in the division, 1-3 in the NFC). They are 4th in the NFC South, behind Panthers, Buccaneers, Falcons, and would be on the outside looking in, 15th in the NFC if the season ended today. In 10,000 simulated seasons they make the playoffs 15% of the time.
Playoff chances by week
Earlier weeks are re-run with the results known at the time, using today's team ratings. The shaded area shows how far their odds could swing over the rest of the season.
Show as a table
| Before Week 1 | 29% | Actual |
| After Week 1 | 26% | Actual |
| After Week 2 | 33% | Actual |
| After Week 3 | 28% | Actual |
| After Week 4 | 18% | Actual |
| After Week 5 | 15% | Actual |
| After Week 6 | 18% | Actual |
| After Week 7 | 14% | Actual |
| After Week 8 | 15% | Actual |
| After Week 9 | 18% | Projected (range 7%–23%) |
| After Week 10 | 26% | Projected (range 3%–25%) |
| After Week 11 | 20% | Projected (range 2%–24%) |
| After Week 12 | 16% | Projected (range 2%–28%) |
| After Week 13 | 11% | Projected (range 1%–32%) |
| After Week 14 | 4% | Projected (range 0%–31%) |
| After Week 15 | <1% | Projected (range 0%–45%) |
| After Week 16 | <1% | Projected (range 0%–47%) |
| After Week 17 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–74%) |
| After Week 18 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–>99%) |
News & injuries
Injury report
As of Nov 4, 2026. The simulator lets you mark any player out and see how the odds change.
What the Saints need
The Saints have not clinched anything yet and are not close to elimination. With 10 games left, the model expects about 4.5 more wins, for a final record around 6-11. Their toughest remaining game is at the Bears in Week 11 (28% to win); the most winnable is vs. the Cardinals in Week 16 (66%). Our power rankings have them #23. Lost to Steelers 10–16 at home.
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nov 8 | vs. CLE Browns | 58% |
| 10 | Nov 15 | vs. CAR Panthers | 52% |
| 11 | Nov 22 | at CHI Bears | 28% |
| 12 | Nov 29 | at CIN Bengals | 32% |
| 13 | Dec 6 | vs. GB Packers | 44% |
| 14 | Dec 13 | at CAR Panthers | 42% |
| 15 | Dec 20 | at TB Buccaneers | 38% |
| 16 | Dec 27 | vs. ARI Cardinals | 66% |
| 17 | Jan 3 | at ATL Falcons | 40% |
| 18 | Jan 10 | vs. TB Buccaneers | 47% |
NFC South standings
| Team | Record | Playoffs | Win div. |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR Panthers | 3-4 | 32% | 30% |
| TB Buccaneers | 3-5 | 36% | 34% |
| ATL Falcons | 3-5 | 25% | 22% |
| NO Saints | 2-5 | 15% | 14% |
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | at DET Lions | L 30–31 |
| 2 | at BAL Ravens | W 24–17 |
| 3 | vs. LV Raiders | L 27–35 |
| 4 | vs. ATL Falcons | L 24–45 |
| 5 | vs. MIN Vikings | L 13–23 |
| 6 | at NYG Giants | W 34–27 |
| 7 | vs. PIT Steelers | L 10–16 |
Questions
Can the Saints still make the playoffs?
Yes. They make the playoffs in 15% of 10,000 simulated seasons, and nothing has eliminated them yet.
What are the Saints' chances to win the Super Bowl?
<1%, based on 10,000 simulated seasons and playoffs. They reach the Super Bowl 1% of the time.
How many games will the Saints win?
The model projects 6.5 wins on average, from their 2-5 start and the 10 games left.
Where do the Saints stand in the NFC South?
4th place, with a 14% chance to win the division.
More
Panthers playoff chances · Buccaneers playoff chances · Falcons playoff chances · All NFC and NFL playoff odds · Playoff picture · Power rankings