NFL playoff odds
Week 9 · updated Nov 4, 2026
Every team's chances from 10,000 simulated seasons, using blended team ratings, a play-by-play matchup sim and the NFL's real tiebreakers. The San Francisco 49ers are the Super Bowl favorite at 12%. Tap a team for its schedule, results and what it needs.
Make your own picksPick any game and watch every team's odds update instantly, with real NFL tiebreakers.
Open the simulatorAFC
| Team | Record | Playoffs | Win div. | No. 1 seed | Win SB | Proj. W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF Bills | 6-1 | 97% | 76% | 37% | 12% | 12.2 |
| JAX Jaguars | 5-2 | 91% | 84% | 12% | 8% | 11.1 |
| DEN Broncos | 6-2 | 87% | 52% | 15% | 5% | 11.1 |
| KC Chiefs | 5-2 | 85% | 44% | 11% | 6% | 10.7 |
| CIN Bengals | 5-2 | 84% | 51% | 12% | 7% | 11.1 |
| NE Patriots | 5-3 | 76% | 24% | 6% | 5% | 10.0 |
| PIT Steelers | 6-2 | 75% | 35% | 6% | 3% | 10.5 |
| CLE Browns | 5-3 | 34% | 9% | <1% | <1% | 8.8 |
| HOU Texans | 2-5 | 27% | 13% | <1% | 2% | 7.9 |
| LV Raiders | 4-4 | 20% | 5% | <1% | <1% | 7.9 |
| BAL Ravens | 4-4 | 19% | 4% | <1% | <1% | 8.1 |
| IND Colts | 2-6 | 4% | 2% | 0% | <1% | 6.3 |
| NYJ Jets | 2-6 | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5.5 |
| LAC Chargers | 0-7 | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 4.4 |
| TEN Titans | 1-7 | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 4.0 |
| MIA Dolphins | 1-6 | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 4.0 |
NFC
| Team | Record | Playoffs | Win div. | No. 1 seed | Win SB | Proj. W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF 49ers | 6-1 | 93% | 79% | 37% | 12% | 12.1 |
| MIN Vikings | 6-1 | 86% | 36% | 22% | 6% | 11.3 |
| CHI Bears | 6-2 | 86% | 32% | 19% | 9% | 11.4 |
| DET Lions | 5-2 | 75% | 25% | 14% | 5% | 10.6 |
| NYG Giants | 4-2-1 | 58% | 55% | 2% | 1% | 8.9 |
| GB Packers | 5-3 | 50% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 9.5 |
| LAR Rams | 4-4 | 48% | 10% | 2% | 6% | 9.5 |
| SEA Seahawks | 4-4 | 45% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 9.4 |
| TB Buccaneers | 3-5 | 36% | 34% | <1% | 1% | 7.5 |
| CAR Panthers | 3-4 | 32% | 30% | <1% | 1% | 7.6 |
| DAL Cowboys | 3-5 | 27% | 25% | <1% | 1% | 7.7 |
| ATL Falcons | 3-5 | 25% | 22% | <1% | 1% | 7.3 |
| WAS Commanders | 2-4-1 | 17% | 15% | <1% | <1% | 7.0 |
| NO Saints | 2-5 | 15% | 14% | 0% | <1% | 6.5 |
| PHI Eagles | 2-6 | 5% | 5% | <1% | <1% | 6.0 |
| ARI Cardinals | 3-5 | 1% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 6.0 |