DEN Denver Broncos playoff chances
Week 9 · 2026 season · updated Nov 4, 2026
The Denver Broncos are 6-2 (2-1 in the division, 3-1 in the AFC). They lead the AFC West, and would be the AFC's No. 2 seed as AFC West leaders if the season ended today. In 10,000 simulated seasons they make the playoffs 87% of the time.
Playoff chances by week
Earlier weeks are re-run with the results known at the time, using today's team ratings. The shaded area shows how far their odds could swing over the rest of the season.
Show as a table
| Before Week 1 | 54% | Actual |
| After Week 1 | 46% | Actual |
| After Week 2 | 56% | Actual |
| After Week 3 | 63% | Actual |
| After Week 4 | 59% | Actual |
| After Week 5 | 65% | Actual |
| After Week 6 | 72% | Actual |
| After Week 7 | 78% | Actual |
| After Week 8 | 87% | Actual |
| After Week 9 | 91% | Projected (range 81%–92%) |
| After Week 10 | 91% | Projected (range 81%–92%) |
| After Week 11 | 96% | Projected (range 70%–96%) |
| After Week 12 | 93% | Projected (range 69%–99%) |
| After Week 13 | 96% | Projected (range 63%–>99%) |
| After Week 14 | 99% | Projected (range 51%–>99%) |
| After Week 15 | >99% | Projected (range 47%–>99%) |
| After Week 16 | >99% | Projected (range 28%–>99%) |
| After Week 17 | >99% | Projected (range 53%–>99%) |
| After Week 18 | >99% | Projected (range >99%–>99%) |
News & injuries
- Talanoa Hufanga SS Out
Ankle; expected to miss multiple weeks
Injury report
As of Nov 4, 2026. The simulator lets you mark any player out and see how the odds change.
What the Broncos need
The Broncos have not clinched anything yet and are not close to elimination. With 9 games left, the model expects about 5.2 more wins, for a final record around 11-6. Their toughest remaining game is at the Patriots in Week 17 (43% to win); the most winnable is vs. the Dolphins in Week 13 (76%). Our power rankings have them #13. Beat Chiefs 28–24 at home. 4 straight wins.
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nov 8 | at CAR Panthers | 55% |
| 11 | Nov 22 | vs. LV Raiders | 66% |
| 12 | Nov 27 | at PIT Steelers | 49% |
| 13 | Dec 6 | vs. MIA Dolphins | 76% |
| 14 | Dec 13 | at NYJ Jets | 60% |
| 15 | Dec 20 | at LV Raiders | 57% |
| 16 | Dec 25 | vs. BUF Bills | 46% |
| 17 | Jan 3 | at NE Patriots | 43% |
| 18 | Jan 10 | vs. LAC Chargers | 65% |
AFC West standings
| Team | Record | Playoffs | Win div. |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN Broncos | 6-2 | 87% | 52% |
| KC Chiefs | 5-2 | 85% | 44% |
| LV Raiders | 4-4 | 20% | 5% |
| LAC Chargers | 0-7 | <1% | <1% |
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | at KC Chiefs | L 10–31 |
| 2 | vs. JAX Jaguars | W 20–13 |
| 3 | vs. LAR Rams | W 30–26 |
| 4 | at SF 49ers | L 14–24 |
| 5 | at LAC Chargers | W 23–17 |
| 6 | vs. SEA Seahawks | W 17–14 |
| 7 | at ARI Cardinals | W 30–16 |
| 8 | vs. KC Chiefs | W 28–24 |
Questions
Can the Broncos still make the playoffs?
Yes. They make the playoffs in 87% of 10,000 simulated seasons, and nothing has eliminated them yet.
What are the Broncos' chances to win the Super Bowl?
5%, based on 10,000 simulated seasons and playoffs. They reach the Super Bowl 11% of the time.
How many games will the Broncos win?
The model projects 11.1 wins on average, from their 6-2 start and the 9 games left.
Where do the Broncos stand in the AFC West?
1st place, with a 52% chance to win the division.
More
Chiefs playoff chances · Raiders playoff chances · Chargers playoff chances · All AFC and NFL playoff odds · Playoff picture · Power rankings