ARI Arizona Cardinals playoff chances
Week 9 · 2026 season · updated Nov 4, 2026
The Arizona Cardinals are 3-5 (1-2 in the division, 2-4 in the NFC). They are 4th in the NFC West, behind 49ers, Seahawks, Rams, and would be on the outside looking in, 12th in the NFC if the season ended today. In 10,000 simulated seasons they make the playoffs 1% of the time.
Playoff chances by week
Earlier weeks are re-run with the results known at the time, using today's team ratings. The shaded area shows how far their odds could swing over the rest of the season.
Show as a table
| Before Week 1 | 3% | Actual |
| After Week 1 | 5% | Actual |
| After Week 2 | 3% | Actual |
| After Week 3 | 2% | Actual |
| After Week 4 | 1% | Actual |
| After Week 5 | 1% | Actual |
| After Week 6 | 1% | Actual |
| After Week 7 | 1% | Actual |
| After Week 8 | 1% | Actual |
| After Week 9 | <1% | Projected (range 0%–4%) |
| After Week 10 | <1% | Projected (range 0%–2%) |
| After Week 11 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–5%) |
| After Week 12 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–2%) |
| After Week 13 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–1%) |
| After Week 14 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–0%) |
| After Week 15 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–1%) |
| After Week 16 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–<1%) |
| After Week 17 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–0%) |
| After Week 18 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–0%) |
News & injuries
- Marvin Harrison Jr.
Traded to the Texans (Oct 12)
- Jacoby Brissett QB
Benched for Gardner Minshew (Nov 2)
- Gardner Minshew II QB
Named Week 9 starter over Jacoby Brissett (Nov 2)
- Kendrick Bourne WR Out
High ankle sprain; could be season-ending
- Jeremiyah Love RB Injured reserve
High ankle sprain; placed on IR, out 4-5 weeks (Nov 3)
Injury report
As of Nov 4, 2026. The simulator lets you mark any player out and see how the odds change.
What the Cardinals need
The Cardinals have not clinched anything yet and are not close to elimination. With 9 games left, the model expects about 3.0 more wins, for a final record around 6-11. Their toughest remaining game is at the Seahawks in Week 9 (18% to win); the most winnable is vs. the Jets in Week 15 (47%). Our power rankings have them #28. Beat Cowboys 33–30 on the road.
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nov 8 | at SEA Seahawks | 18% |
| 10 | Nov 15 | vs. LAR Rams | 24% |
| 11 | Nov 22 | at KC Chiefs | 21% |
| 12 | Nov 29 | vs. WAS Commanders | 41% |
| 13 | Dec 6 | vs. PHI Eagles | 41% |
| 15 | Dec 20 | vs. NYJ Jets | 47% |
| 16 | Dec 27 | at NO Saints | 34% |
| 17 | Jan 3 | vs. LV Raiders | 44% |
| 18 | Jan 10 | vs. SF 49ers | 26% |
NFC West standings
| Team | Record | Playoffs | Win div. |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF 49ers | 6-1 | 93% | 79% |
| SEA Seahawks | 4-4 | 45% | 11% |
| LAR Rams | 4-4 | 48% | 10% |
| ARI Cardinals | 3-5 | 1% | <1% |
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | at LAC Chargers | W 26–14 |
| 2 | vs. SEA Seahawks | L 7–31 |
| 3 | at SF 49ers | L 30–36 |
| 4 | at NYG Giants | L 24–36 |
| 5 | vs. DET Lions | L 21–45 |
| 6 | at LAR Rams | W 18–16 |
| 7 | vs. DEN Broncos | L 16–30 |
| 8 | at DAL Cowboys | W 33–30 |
Questions
Can the Cardinals still make the playoffs?
Yes. They make the playoffs in 1% of 10,000 simulated seasons, and nothing has eliminated them yet.
What are the Cardinals' chances to win the Super Bowl?
0%, based on 10,000 simulated seasons and playoffs. They reach the Super Bowl <1% of the time.
How many games will the Cardinals win?
The model projects 6.0 wins on average, from their 3-5 start and the 9 games left.
Where do the Cardinals stand in the NFC West?
4th place, with a <1% chance to win the division.
More
49ers playoff chances · Seahawks playoff chances · Rams playoff chances · All NFC and NFL playoff odds · Playoff picture · Power rankings