NYJ New York Jets playoff chances
Week 9 · 2026 season · updated Nov 4, 2026
The New York Jets are 2-6 (0-2 in the division, 2-3 in the AFC). They are 3rd in the AFC East, behind Bills, Patriots, and would be on the outside looking in, 12th in the AFC if the season ended today. In 10,000 simulated seasons they make the playoffs 1% of the time.
Playoff chances by week
Earlier weeks are re-run with the results known at the time, using today's team ratings. The shaded area shows how far their odds could swing over the rest of the season.
Show as a table
| Before Week 1 | 21% | Actual |
| After Week 1 | 26% | Actual |
| After Week 2 | 21% | Actual |
| After Week 3 | 15% | Actual |
| After Week 4 | 13% | Actual |
| After Week 5 | 15% | Actual |
| After Week 6 | 10% | Actual |
| After Week 7 | 5% | Actual |
| After Week 8 | 1% | Actual |
| After Week 9 | 1% | Projected (range <1%–3%) |
| After Week 10 | <1% | Projected (range 0%–2%) |
| After Week 11 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–4%) |
| After Week 12 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–2%) |
| After Week 13 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–3%) |
| After Week 14 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–1%) |
| After Week 15 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–2%) |
| After Week 16 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–<1%) |
| After Week 17 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–0%) |
| After Week 18 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–0%) |
News & injuries
- Breece Hall RB
Quad; expected back for Week 9
Injury report
As of Nov 4, 2026. The simulator lets you mark any player out and see how the odds change.
What the Jets need
The Jets have not clinched anything yet and are not close to elimination. With 9 games left, the model expects about 3.5 more wins, for a final record around 5-12. Their toughest remaining game is at the Bills in Week 18 (24% to win); the most winnable is at the Dolphins in Week 12 (53%). Our power rankings have them #25. Lost to Raiders 33–38 at home. 3 straight losses.
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nov 8 | at KC Chiefs | 26% |
| 10 | Nov 15 | vs. BUF Bills | 32% |
| 11 | Nov 22 | at LAC Chargers | 41% |
| 12 | Nov 29 | at MIA Dolphins | 53% |
| 14 | Dec 13 | vs. DEN Broncos | 40% |
| 15 | Dec 20 | at ARI Cardinals | 53% |
| 16 | Dec 27 | vs. NE Patriots | 37% |
| 17 | Jan 3 | vs. MIN Vikings | 39% |
| 18 | Jan 10 | at BUF Bills | 24% |
AFC East standings
| Team | Record | Playoffs | Win div. |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF Bills | 6-1 | 97% | 76% |
| NE Patriots | 5-3 | 76% | 24% |
| NYJ Jets | 2-6 | 1% | <1% |
| MIA Dolphins | 1-6 | <1% | <1% |
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | at TEN Titans | W 23–10 |
| 2 | vs. GB Packers | L 17–20 |
| 3 | at DET Lions | L 24–31 |
| 4 | at CHI Bears | L 12–23 |
| 5 | vs. CLE Browns | W 17–12 |
| 6 | at NE Patriots | L 19–26 |
| 7 | vs. MIA Dolphins | L 25–28 |
| 8 | vs. LV Raiders | L 33–38 |
Questions
Can the Jets still make the playoffs?
Yes. They make the playoffs in 1% of 10,000 simulated seasons, and nothing has eliminated them yet.
What are the Jets' chances to win the Super Bowl?
<1%, based on 10,000 simulated seasons and playoffs. They reach the Super Bowl <1% of the time.
How many games will the Jets win?
The model projects 5.5 wins on average, from their 2-6 start and the 9 games left.
Where do the Jets stand in the AFC East?
3rd place, with a <1% chance to win the division.
More
Bills playoff chances · Patriots playoff chances · Dolphins playoff chances · All AFC and NFL playoff odds · Playoff picture · Power rankings