LAC Los Angeles Chargers playoff chances
Week 9 · 2026 season · updated Nov 4, 2026
The Los Angeles Chargers are 0-7 (0-3 in the division, 0-4 in the AFC). They are 4th in the AFC West, behind Broncos, Chiefs, Raiders, and would be on the outside looking in, 16th in the AFC if the season ended today. In 10,000 simulated seasons they make the playoffs <1% of the time.
Playoff chances by week
Earlier weeks are re-run with the results known at the time, using today's team ratings. The shaded area shows how far their odds could swing over the rest of the season.
Show as a table
| Before Week 1 | 26% | Actual |
| After Week 1 | 18% | Actual |
| After Week 2 | 11% | Actual |
| After Week 3 | 7% | Actual |
| After Week 4 | 6% | Actual |
| After Week 5 | 3% | Actual |
| After Week 6 | 1% | Actual |
| After Week 7 | 1% | Actual |
| After Week 8 | <1% | Actual |
| After Week 9 | <1% | Projected (range <1%–2%) |
| After Week 10 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–2%) |
| After Week 11 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–2%) |
| After Week 12 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–1%) |
| After Week 13 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–<1%) |
| After Week 14 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–<1%) |
| After Week 15 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–0%) |
| After Week 16 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–0%) |
| After Week 17 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–0%) |
| After Week 18 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–0%) |
News & injuries
Injury report
As of Nov 4, 2026. The simulator lets you mark any player out and see how the odds change.
What the Chargers need
The Chargers have not clinched anything yet and are not close to elimination. With 10 games left, the model expects about 4.4 more wins, for a final record around 4-13. Their toughest remaining game is at the Broncos in Week 18 (35% to win); the most winnable is vs. the Jets in Week 11 (59%). Our power rankings have them #31. Lost to Rams 9–24 on the road. 7 straight losses. The play-by-play numbers are better than the scores.
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nov 8 | vs. HOU Texans | 38% |
| 10 | Nov 16 | at BAL Ravens | 43% |
| 11 | Nov 22 | vs. NYJ Jets | 59% |
| 12 | Nov 29 | vs. NE Patriots | 42% |
| 13 | Dec 6 | at TB Buccaneers | 39% |
| 14 | Dec 13 | at LV Raiders | 47% |
| 15 | Dec 17 | vs. SF 49ers | 37% |
| 16 | Dec 27 | at MIA Dolphins | 58% |
| 17 | Jan 3 | vs. KC Chiefs | 41% |
| 18 | Jan 10 | at DEN Broncos | 35% |
AFC West standings
| Team | Record | Playoffs | Win div. |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN Broncos | 6-2 | 87% | 52% |
| KC Chiefs | 5-2 | 85% | 44% |
| LV Raiders | 4-4 | 20% | 5% |
| LAC Chargers | 0-7 | <1% | <1% |
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs. ARI Cardinals | L 14–26 |
| 2 | vs. LV Raiders | L 14–26 |
| 3 | at BUF Bills | L 16–24 |
| 4 | at SEA Seahawks | L 23–30 |
| 5 | vs. DEN Broncos | L 17–23 |
| 6 | at KC Chiefs | L 6–22 |
| 8 | at LAR Rams | L 9–24 |
Questions
Can the Chargers still make the playoffs?
Yes. They make the playoffs in <1% of 10,000 simulated seasons, and nothing has eliminated them yet.
What are the Chargers' chances to win the Super Bowl?
0%, based on 10,000 simulated seasons and playoffs. They reach the Super Bowl <1% of the time.
How many games will the Chargers win?
The model projects 4.4 wins on average, from their 0-7 start and the 10 games left.
Where do the Chargers stand in the AFC West?
4th place, with a <1% chance to win the division.
More
Broncos playoff chances · Chiefs playoff chances · Raiders playoff chances · All AFC and NFL playoff odds · Playoff picture · Power rankings