SEA Seattle Seahawks playoff chances
Week 9 · 2026 season · updated Nov 4, 2026
The Seattle Seahawks are 4-4 (1-1 in the division, 1-3 in the NFC). They are 2nd in the NFC West, behind 49ers, and would be on the outside looking in, 8th in the NFC if the season ended today. In 10,000 simulated seasons they make the playoffs 45% of the time.
Playoff chances by week
Earlier weeks are re-run with the results known at the time, using today's team ratings. The shaded area shows how far their odds could swing over the rest of the season.
Show as a table
| Before Week 1 | 69% | Actual |
| After Week 1 | 74% | Actual |
| After Week 2 | 77% | Actual |
| After Week 3 | 70% | Actual |
| After Week 4 | 71% | Actual |
| After Week 5 | 63% | Actual |
| After Week 6 | 57% | Actual |
| After Week 7 | 61% | Actual |
| After Week 8 | 45% | Actual |
| After Week 9 | 49% | Projected (range 26%–51%) |
| After Week 10 | 55% | Projected (range 28%–57%) |
| After Week 11 | 55% | Projected (range 28%–60%) |
| After Week 12 | 43% | Projected (range 21%–68%) |
| After Week 13 | 52% | Projected (range 18%–69%) |
| After Week 14 | 60% | Projected (range 12%–76%) |
| After Week 15 | 70% | Projected (range 6%–83%) |
| After Week 16 | 89% | Projected (range 0%–93%) |
| After Week 17 | 97% | Projected (range 0%–>99%) |
| After Week 18 | 95% | Projected (range 0%–>99%) |
News & injuries
- Leonard Williams LDE Questionable
Shoulder; left Monday night early
- Quenton Nelson LG
Acquired from the Colts in a trade (Oct 27)
- Charles Cross LT Out
High ankle sprain; hoped back in 1-2 weeks
Injury report
As of Nov 4, 2026. The simulator lets you mark any player out and see how the odds change.
What the Seahawks need
The Seahawks have not clinched anything yet and are not close to elimination. With 9 games left, the model expects about 5.5 more wins, for a final record around 9-8. Their toughest remaining game is at the Rams in Week 18 (43% to win); the most winnable is vs. the Cardinals in Week 9 (82%). Our power rankings have them #10. Lost to Bears 17–34 at home.
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nov 8 | vs. ARI Cardinals | 82% |
| 10 | Nov 15 | at LV Raiders | 64% |
| 12 | Nov 29 | at SF 49ers | 46% |
| 13 | Dec 7 | vs. DAL Cowboys | 64% |
| 14 | Dec 13 | vs. NYG Giants | 72% |
| 15 | Dec 19 | at PHI Eagles | 63% |
| 16 | Dec 25 | vs. LAR Rams | 52% |
| 17 | Jan 3 | at CAR Panthers | 62% |
| 18 | Jan 10 | at LAR Rams | 43% |
NFC West standings
| Team | Record | Playoffs | Win div. |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF 49ers | 6-1 | 93% | 79% |
| SEA Seahawks | 4-4 | 45% | 11% |
| LAR Rams | 4-4 | 48% | 10% |
| ARI Cardinals | 3-5 | 1% | <1% |
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs. NE Patriots | W 13–10 |
| 2 | at ARI Cardinals | W 31–7 |
| 3 | at WAS Commanders | L 31–33 |
| 4 | vs. LAC Chargers | W 30–23 |
| 5 | vs. SF 49ers | L 29–32 |
| 6 | at DEN Broncos | L 14–17 |
| 7 | vs. KC Chiefs | W 20–3 |
| 8 | vs. CHI Bears | L 17–34 |
Questions
Can the Seahawks still make the playoffs?
Yes. They make the playoffs in 45% of 10,000 simulated seasons, and nothing has eliminated them yet.
What are the Seahawks' chances to win the Super Bowl?
4%, based on 10,000 simulated seasons and playoffs. They reach the Super Bowl 8% of the time.
How many games will the Seahawks win?
The model projects 9.4 wins on average, from their 4-4 start and the 9 games left.
Where do the Seahawks stand in the NFC West?
2nd place, with a 11% chance to win the division.
More
49ers playoff chances · Rams playoff chances · Cardinals playoff chances · All NFC and NFL playoff odds · Playoff picture · Power rankings