LAR Los Angeles Rams playoff chances
Week 9 · 2026 season · updated Nov 4, 2026
The Los Angeles Rams are 4-4 (0-2 in the division, 2-2 in the NFC). They are 3rd in the NFC West, behind 49ers, Seahawks, and would be on the outside looking in, 9th in the NFC if the season ended today. In 10,000 simulated seasons they make the playoffs 48% of the time.
Playoff chances by week
Earlier weeks are re-run with the results known at the time, using today's team ratings. The shaded area shows how far their odds could swing over the rest of the season.
Show as a table
| Before Week 1 | 74% | Actual |
| After Week 1 | 64% | Actual |
| After Week 2 | 69% | Actual |
| After Week 3 | 63% | Actual |
| After Week 4 | 68% | Actual |
| After Week 5 | 60% | Actual |
| After Week 6 | 44% | Actual |
| After Week 7 | 46% | Actual |
| After Week 8 | 48% | Actual |
| After Week 9 | 55% | Projected (range 37%–62%) |
| After Week 10 | 61% | Projected (range 35%–67%) |
| After Week 11 | 61% | Projected (range 33%–66%) |
| After Week 12 | 72% | Projected (range 22%–76%) |
| After Week 13 | 79% | Projected (range 12%–78%) |
| After Week 14 | 70% | Projected (range 17%–90%) |
| After Week 15 | 79% | Projected (range 5%–93%) |
| After Week 16 | 67% | Projected (range <1%–>99%) |
| After Week 17 | 81% | Projected (range 0%–>99%) |
| After Week 18 | 96% | Projected (range 0%–>99%) |
News & injuries
- Matthew Stafford QB Questionable
Right elbow soreness; McVay says arm is sore, attempts down three straight weeks
- Dean Connors RB Out
Hand; needs surgery
Injury report
As of Nov 4, 2026. The simulator lets you mark any player out and see how the odds change.
What the Rams need
The Rams have not clinched anything yet and are not close to elimination. With 9 games left, the model expects about 5.5 more wins, for a final record around 9-8. Their toughest remaining game is at the Seahawks in Week 16 (48% to win); the most winnable is at the Cardinals in Week 10 (76%). Our power rankings have them #7. Beat Chargers 24–9 at home. The play-by-play numbers are better than the scores.
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nov 8 | at WAS Commanders | 66% |
| 10 | Nov 15 | at ARI Cardinals | 76% |
| 12 | Nov 25 | vs. GB Packers | 65% |
| 13 | Dec 3 | vs. KC Chiefs | 61% |
| 14 | Dec 13 | at SF 49ers | 48% |
| 15 | Dec 20 | vs. DAL Cowboys | 67% |
| 16 | Dec 25 | at SEA Seahawks | 48% |
| 17 | Jan 3 | at TB Buccaneers | 59% |
| 18 | Jan 10 | vs. SEA Seahawks | 57% |
NFC West standings
| Team | Record | Playoffs | Win div. |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF 49ers | 6-1 | 93% | 79% |
| SEA Seahawks | 4-4 | 45% | 11% |
| LAR Rams | 4-4 | 48% | 10% |
| ARI Cardinals | 3-5 | 1% | <1% |
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs. SF 49ers | L 7–27 |
| 2 | vs. NYG Giants | W 28–6 |
| 3 | at DEN Broncos | L 26–30 |
| 4 | at PHI Eagles | W 24–20 |
| 5 | vs. BUF Bills | L 34–37 |
| 6 | vs. ARI Cardinals | L 16–18 |
| 7 | at LV Raiders | W 35–21 |
| 8 | vs. LAC Chargers | W 24–9 |
Questions
Can the Rams still make the playoffs?
Yes. They make the playoffs in 48% of 10,000 simulated seasons, and nothing has eliminated them yet.
What are the Rams' chances to win the Super Bowl?
6%, based on 10,000 simulated seasons and playoffs. They reach the Super Bowl 9% of the time.
How many games will the Rams win?
The model projects 9.5 wins on average, from their 4-4 start and the 9 games left.
Where do the Rams stand in the NFC West?
3rd place, with a 10% chance to win the division.
More
49ers playoff chances · Seahawks playoff chances · Cardinals playoff chances · All NFC and NFL playoff odds · Playoff picture · Power rankings