PHI Philadelphia Eagles playoff chances
Week 9 · 2026 season · updated Nov 4, 2026
The Philadelphia Eagles are 2-6 (1-2 in the division, 1-5 in the NFC). They are 4th in the NFC East, behind Giants, Cowboys, Commanders, and would be on the outside looking in, 16th in the NFC if the season ended today. In 10,000 simulated seasons they make the playoffs 5% of the time.
Playoff chances by week
Earlier weeks are re-run with the results known at the time, using today's team ratings. The shaded area shows how far their odds could swing over the rest of the season.
Show as a table
| Before Week 1 | 26% | Actual |
| After Week 1 | 32% | Actual |
| After Week 2 | 38% | Actual |
| After Week 3 | 33% | Actual |
| After Week 4 | 25% | Actual |
| After Week 5 | 21% | Actual |
| After Week 6 | 19% | Actual |
| After Week 7 | 8% | Actual |
| After Week 8 | 5% | Actual |
| After Week 9 | 2% | Projected (range 2%–11%) |
| After Week 10 | 2% | Projected (range 0%–10%) |
| After Week 11 | 1% | Projected (range <1%–14%) |
| After Week 12 | <1% | Projected (range 0%–16%) |
| After Week 13 | <1% | Projected (range 0%–14%) |
| After Week 14 | <1% | Projected (range 0%–18%) |
| After Week 15 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–22%) |
| After Week 16 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–24%) |
| After Week 17 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–22%) |
| After Week 18 | 0% | Projected (range 0%–0%) |
News & injuries
- Cam Jurgens
Traded to the Ravens (Oct 7)
Injury report
As of Nov 4, 2026. The simulator lets you mark any player out and see how the odds change.
What the Eagles need
The Eagles have not clinched anything yet and are not close to elimination. With 9 games left, the model expects about 4.0 more wins, for a final record around 6-11. Their toughest remaining game is at the 49ers in Week 17 (30% to win); the most winnable is at the Cardinals in Week 13 (59%). Our power rankings have them #32. Lost to Commanders 10–27 on the road. 6 straight losses. Playing below its rating lately.
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nov 8 | vs. NYG Giants | 44% |
| 11 | Nov 22 | vs. PIT Steelers | 49% |
| 12 | Nov 26 | at DAL Cowboys | 37% |
| 13 | Dec 6 | at ARI Cardinals | 59% |
| 14 | Dec 13 | vs. IND Colts | 55% |
| 15 | Dec 19 | vs. SEA Seahawks | 37% |
| 16 | Dec 24 | vs. HOU Texans | 43% |
| 17 | Jan 3 | at SF 49ers | 30% |
| 18 | Jan 10 | at NYG Giants | 47% |
NFC East standings
| Team | Record | Playoffs | Win div. |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG Giants | 4-2-1 | 58% | 55% |
| DAL Cowboys | 3-5 | 27% | 25% |
| WAS Commanders | 2-4-1 | 17% | 15% |
| PHI Eagles | 2-6 | 5% | 5% |
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs. WAS Commanders | W 24–22 |
| 2 | at TEN Titans | W 24–20 |
| 3 | at CHI Bears | L 7–27 |
| 4 | vs. LAR Rams | L 20–24 |
| 5 | at JAX Jaguars | L 17–19 |
| 6 | vs. CAR Panthers | L 14–25 |
| 7 | vs. DAL Cowboys | L 21–38 |
| 8 | at WAS Commanders | L 10–27 |
Questions
Can the Eagles still make the playoffs?
Yes. They make the playoffs in 5% of 10,000 simulated seasons, and nothing has eliminated them yet.
What are the Eagles' chances to win the Super Bowl?
<1%, based on 10,000 simulated seasons and playoffs. They reach the Super Bowl <1% of the time.
How many games will the Eagles win?
The model projects 6.0 wins on average, from their 2-6 start and the 9 games left.
Where do the Eagles stand in the NFC East?
4th place, with a 5% chance to win the division.
More
Giants playoff chances · Cowboys playoff chances · Commanders playoff chances · All NFC and NFL playoff odds · Playoff picture · Power rankings