NYG New York Giants playoff chances
Week 9 · 2026 season · updated Nov 4, 2026
The New York Giants are 4-2-1 (1-0-1 in the division, 2-2-1 in the NFC). They lead the NFC East, and would be the NFC's No. 3 seed as NFC East leaders if the season ended today. In 10,000 simulated seasons they make the playoffs 58% of the time.
Playoff chances by week
Earlier weeks are re-run with the results known at the time, using today's team ratings. The shaded area shows how far their odds could swing over the rest of the season.
Show as a table
| Before Week 1 | 30% | Actual |
| After Week 1 | 39% | Actual |
| After Week 2 | 33% | Actual |
| After Week 3 | 38% | Actual |
| After Week 4 | 42% | Actual |
| After Week 5 | 46% | Actual |
| After Week 6 | 43% | Actual |
| After Week 7 | 52% | Actual |
| After Week 8 | 58% | Actual |
| After Week 9 | 68% | Projected (range 40%–73%) |
| After Week 10 | 82% | Projected (range 40%–82%) |
| After Week 11 | 76% | Projected (range 30%–87%) |
| After Week 12 | 69% | Projected (range 18%–91%) |
| After Week 13 | 62% | Projected (range 21%–94%) |
| After Week 14 | 55% | Projected (range 16%–95%) |
| After Week 15 | 65% | Projected (range 14%–99%) |
| After Week 16 | 57% | Projected (range 15%–>99%) |
| After Week 17 | 39% | Projected (range 0%–>99%) |
| After Week 18 | 56% | Projected (range 0%–>99%) |
News & injuries
- J.J. McCarthy QB
Acquired from the Vikings in a trade (Sept 28)
- Cam Skattebo RB Questionable
Hamstring
Injury report
As of Nov 4, 2026. The simulator lets you mark any player out and see how the odds change.
What the Giants need
The Giants have not clinched anything yet and are not close to elimination. With 10 games left, the model expects about 4.4 more wins, for a final record around 8-8. Their toughest remaining game is at the Seahawks in Week 14 (28% to win); the most winnable is vs. the Browns in Week 15 (58%). Our power rankings have them #18. Beat Texans 27–21 on the road.
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nov 8 | at PHI Eagles | 56% |
| 10 | Nov 12 | vs. WAS Commanders | 53% |
| 11 | Nov 22 | vs. JAX Jaguars | 40% |
| 12 | Nov 29 | at IND Colts | 45% |
| 13 | Dec 6 | vs. SF 49ers | 37% |
| 14 | Dec 13 | at SEA Seahawks | 28% |
| 15 | Dec 20 | vs. CLE Browns | 58% |
| 16 | Dec 28 | at DET Lions | 34% |
| 17 | Jan 3 | at DAL Cowboys | 36% |
| 18 | Jan 10 | vs. PHI Eagles | 53% |
NFC East standings
| Team | Record | Playoffs | Win div. |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG Giants | 4-2-1 | 58% | 55% |
| DAL Cowboys | 3-5 | 27% | 25% |
| WAS Commanders | 2-4-1 | 17% | 15% |
| PHI Eagles | 2-6 | 5% | 5% |
Results so far
| Wk | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs. DAL Cowboys | W 28–20 |
| 2 | at LAR Rams | L 6–28 |
| 3 | vs. TEN Titans | W 12–7 |
| 4 | vs. ARI Cardinals | W 36–24 |
| 5 | at WAS Commanders | T 27–27 |
| 6 | vs. NO Saints | L 27–34 |
| 7 | at HOU Texans | W 27–21 |
Questions
Can the Giants still make the playoffs?
Yes. They make the playoffs in 58% of 10,000 simulated seasons, and nothing has eliminated them yet.
What are the Giants' chances to win the Super Bowl?
1%, based on 10,000 simulated seasons and playoffs. They reach the Super Bowl 3% of the time.
How many games will the Giants win?
The model projects 8.9 wins on average, from their 4-2-1 start and the 10 games left.
Where do the Giants stand in the NFC East?
1st place, with a 55% chance to win the division.
More
Cowboys playoff chances · Commanders playoff chances · Eagles playoff chances · All NFC and NFL playoff odds · Playoff picture · Power rankings